Epic global shipping disaster! Flights in 26 countries canceled, logistics blocked, how should cross-border logistics cope with it!

Epic global shipping disaster! Flights in 26 countries canceled, logistics blocked, how should cross-border logistics cope with it!


The international economy has been turbulent recently, and many people have even witnessed history without even realizing it!


At 9:30 a.m. local time on March 12, the Dow Jones Industrial Average quickly fell by more than 1,700 points in early trading. As of 21:35, the S&P 500 index fell 7% on the day, triggering the second circuit breaker this week and suspending trading for 15 minutes.


It's not just the United States. On the 12th, global financial markets plummeted and the situation was dire!


According to incomplete statistics, 11 stock markets, including the US, Brazil, Canada, Thailand, Philippines, Pakistan, South Korea, Indonesia, Mexico, Colombia, and Sri Lanka , experienced “circuit breakers” on March 12. March 12 may become the “global stock market circuit breaker day.”


However, the global stock market circuit breaker on the 12th may have been caused by a shipping storm!




Trump announces suspension of flights between the US and Europe for 30 days


At 9 p.m. Eastern Time on March 11, Trump delivered a national speech in the White House office on how the United States should respond to the new coronavirus epidemic.


Trump announced in his speech that the United States will suspend all travel from Europe for the next 30 days , but the travel restrictions will not apply to the UK. The regulations will take effect at midnight on Friday (March 13).


While the source of the new coronavirus has not yet been identified, Trump called it a "foreign virus" in his speech and accused Europe of not taking the same actions as the United States to control the virus. He said that due to Europe's inaction, "travelers from Europe" sowed "large" virus clusters.



Trump said the decision was made to "prevent new cases from coming into our country," but that restrictions would be adjusted based on actual conditions and exemptions would be given to certain Americans who "have undergone appropriate screening."


Once the news came out, 6,747 flights and about 2 million seats will be affected in the next four weeks. As a result, U.S. airline stocks fell before the market opened, and the U.S. stock market broke the record twice within a week. On March 12, Boeing fell 6.92% and Delta Airlines fell more than 10%. At the same time, European airline stocks fell sharply, with Norwegian Air falling 15% and Lufthansa falling more than 10%.


A European Union diplomat revealed on the evening of the 11th that Trump announced a travel ban on 26 European countries that day without informing the EU in advance. It is inferred that the US travel ban may further complicate the already tense trade relations between the US and Europe. Although Trump said that US-EU goods trade will proceed as usual, the ban will seriously disrupt the trade in services between the two sides.




Japan stops accepting mail to China


In addition to the suspension of flights between the United States and Europe, mail between China and Japan has also been seriously affected!


Japan Post announced on March 12 that due to the entry restrictions and flight takeoff and landing restrictions imposed on China since March 9, the delivery volume has been greatly reduced and the smooth arrival of mail cannot be guaranteed. Therefore, from March 13 (Friday), except for some ordinary mail (air letters, postcards and mail for the blind), international mail services to China will be suspended.


Some mail services that continue to be accepted may be significantly delayed in delivery. Packages and mail that have been accepted by the post offices but cannot be sent will be returned to customers one after another.


Since the outbreak of the epidemic in China, the number of parcels of supplies such as masks sent from Japan to mainland China has increased dramatically, and international express delivery has continued to experience significant delays.


In addition, most flights between China and Japan were cancelled, leaving Japan Post with 380,000 parcels stranded. EMS, which normally takes a week to deliver, can take up to 40 days after the outbreak .




Korean Air bankruptcy warning


As the global transportation industry encounters a cold winter, many shipping companies are already unable to make ends meet and are on the verge of bankruptcy!


Korean Air, South Korea's largest airline, recently issued a notice to its employees, explaining the potential impact that the outbreak of the new coronavirus may have on the airline.


"If the situation persists for a longer period of time, we may reach a threshold where we cannot guarantee the survival of the company," Korean Air President Oh Ki-hong said in the memo.


Oh said Korean Air's international capacity has been cut by more than 80% due to global travel restrictions, compared with just 18% during the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis.



Korean Air has grounded about 100 of its 145 passenger aircraft , and Oh added that it will also postpone investments, cut operating expenses and encourage employees to take voluntary leave .


The editor will answer the recent issues that sellers are concerned about and the current logistics situation one by one .



1. What is the status quo of the China-U.S. logistics line and logistics in various countries?

There is a lot of misleading information in the market. Currently, only a few airlines have suspended flights for a month because the United States does not allow people stranded in China to enter the country due to the epidemic, but it is normal for people from other countries to enter the United States. Chinese sellers can also enter the United States by transshipping goods from other countries.

After the Chinese New Year, the number of cargo planes decreases to varying degrees. This year, due to the impact of the epidemic, there are fewer outbound passengers and passenger planes, and because factories have not resumed work, shipments have decreased, resulting in the suspension of cargo planes and some shipping companies' voyages are empty. However, the logistics channel between China and the United States is still unobstructed.


2. Will the United States cancel all flights between China and the United States?

This will basically not happen. The World Health Organization has issued a statement that Chinese goods will not carry the virus to other countries, so the logistics channel is still open. It is just that the quarantine of goods may be stricter, and the number of flights will be greatly reduced. Due to the reduction in transportation capacity, the operating costs of cross-border sellers and logistics will increase a lot.



3. Overseas countries refuse to accept Chinese goods


There are still very few cases of refusing to accept Chinese goods, which mainly target some direct small package channels. There were also many cases of refusals when there was no epidemic.
If the goods are shipped from overseas warehouses and FBA, the goods themselves are already shipped from local warehouses, and the logistics information will also be displayed as shipped locally, so it should be much better. Sellers can choose to ship from virtual overseas warehouses.
There are several general trade rejection situations:
A. The goods infringe (including trademarks, appearance, accessories, and patents) without authorization;
B. Customs cannot find the real owner of the goods after inspection (shell company has no business license);
C. No product certification, such as FDA registration, FCC, DOT, etc.
Most of China’s logistics companies do not have the ability to operate overseas entities and instead work with agents.

4. Overseas countries’ attitude towards goods originating from China

In fact, many foreign countries have not been greatly affected yet. For example, many countries such as the United States and Germany are still very calm about products from China at this stage, because foreigners use a large number of Made in China products every day.
If there are really many rejections, it should be because the website is self-built. In this case, the seller should increase the direct shipment of products from overseas warehouses as much as possible and reduce direct shipment from domestic warehouses.
Amazon sellers can still be guaranteed as long as they find a logistics company with operational capabilities in the United States. The focus should be on avoiding products that do not have intellectual property certification; logistics companies should give full play to the advantages of overseas warehouses to help sellers solve the tedious process of overseas direct shipment and temporary storage.


5.Will customs clearance be affected by the epidemic?


In terms of customs clearance, customs will disinfect and quarantine the ships, which will result in a two or three day slower time frame than normal. If there are large queues, the delay is expected to be around a week.
Fortunately, on the one hand, many e-commerce platforms have issued seller recommendations in response to the epidemic, and the response measures are relatively timely. For example, e-commerce platforms such as Shopee, Lazada, and eBay have extended the exemption of logistics time during the Spring Festival holiday, and measures such as returns within a certain period will not affect store points indicators, which minimized seller losses.



Advice for sellers

During this special period, the suspension of domestic logistics has led to a backlog of goods, and restrictions on international transportation have placed higher demands on the capital chain and supply chain of cross-border sellers.


01

Pay attention to inventory issues and seize overseas warehouse opportunities


Sellers should check inventory as soon as possible and remove out -of-stock products from the shelves in a timely manner to avoid subsequent disputes.

Considering factors such as consumer sentiment and logistics timeliness, choosing the overseas warehouse model is better than domestic direct delivery channels at this stage. Therefore, sellers with spot goods and logistics channels are recommended to increase the proportion of overseas warehouse shipments.

Be prepared for flight cancellations, reduced shipping schedules, etc. If multiple channels are blocked, ship goods in advance through transshipment methods that take longer and are more expensive to avoid out-of-stock situations. Merchants who previously relied on direct domestic shipments can choose cargo plane transportation, which has not yet been restricted.

0 2

Targeted product selection and reasonable control of cash flow


The duration of the epidemic is difficult to estimate. Zhong Nanshan pointed out that the peak of the epidemic should occur in mid-to-late February, and the turning point is still unpredictable, and there is no sign of when it will end completely.

Enterprises should be prepared for the recovery period of foreign trade to exceed 3 months, and be cautious in selecting and stocking products during the cold winter. Appropriately reduce or control the stocking of food commodities with strict import and export quarantine; predict product selection trends, and products such as health products and outdoor products may usher in a rebound.

At the same time, always pay attention to the cash flow situation on the books and do a good job of accounting. In extraordinary times, you need to be conservative in stocking, promotion and other aspects.

0 3

Maintain effective communication with customers


Affected by the epidemic, in addition to the impact of unstable inventory on sales, many overseas buyers have begun to express concerns about goods shipped from China, and order returns have occurred from time to time. Therefore, it is very necessary to maintain a friendly negotiating attitude with customers.

For example, when faced with customer questions about whether a package carries the virus, the seller can send the other party a link to an announcement released by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), indicating that the virus has a very short survival time on objects such as letters/packages, and there is currently no evidence that the package carries the virus.

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