US chip bill passed! Will chip shortages hit 3C sellers soon?

US chip bill passed! Will chip shortages hit 3C sellers soon?


It is learned that according to foreign media reports, on August 9, US President Biden officially signed the " Chips and Science Act ", which will provide huge subsidies to the semiconductor industry with a total amount of up to 52 billion ; and provide related companies with investment tax credits and other measures to encourage companies to build factories in the United States.

 
  Image from quantum.gov

Although the purpose of the bill is to revive the US chip industry, there is a clause that has attracted attention: it prohibits companies that receive federal funds from significantly increasing production of advanced process chips in China for a period of 10 years . Such a targeted clause quickly caused a sensation in the industry.
 

A research report released by Huatai Securities shows that companies that currently have semiconductor factories in China and the United States include TSMC, Samsung, and Hynix . If these companies accept subsidies from the "chip bill", they will be restricted from building or expanding factories in China. In addition, the United States has previously directly restricted the export of American chips to China, and domestic chips may face shortages again .



Some industries are heavily dependent on imported chips


As we all know, high-precision chips have always been the weak point of China's semiconductor technology. Although domestic chips have been catching up in recent years, the technology is still at 14nm . Samsung, TSMC and other companies have been able to achieve a 5nm difference and are moving towards 3nm .

 
In the aerospace, aviation, automobile, computer and other fields, since domestic chips cannot meet the requirements, the chips used by these enterprises in China are heavily dependent on imports. In addition, home appliances and 3C products are also the concentration of imported chips. With the tight supply chain of imported chips, it will cost more to maintain stable product quality .
 
Anker Innovations , a cross-border giant that mainly sells 3C products, mentioned in its 2021 financial report: For some core raw materials such as battery cells , the company will also purchase directly from world-renowned raw material manufacturers to ensure the reliability and safety of the company's overall product functions.
 
   The picture comes from Juchao Information Network

The financial report also mentioned that the global epidemic continued to ferment in 2021, and major well-known chip manufacturers have fallen into the dilemma of insufficient production capacity. The consumer electronics industry has also encountered many challenges such as tight chip supply and continued rising raw material prices .
 
  The picture comes from Juchao Information Network

Unlike last year, global chip production capacity has gradually recovered, but domestic manufacturers that rely on imported chips have not had time to catch their breath before being sanctioned by the new chip bill. What impact will this have on cross-border sellers who sell such products?
 


What do cross-border sellers think?


In fact, sellers have already had heated discussions on this issue on the forum.

 
The affirmative side's view is that the bill will affect industries such as aerospace and automobiles that require high-computing chips, but will have little impact on cross-border e-commerce, because products such as small household appliances use low-end chips, and China can be self-sufficient in low-end and mid-end chips without relying on imports.
 
  The picture comes from Zhiwubuyan
 

The opposing side believes that this chip bill will still have a great impact on 3C and small appliance sellers. Although domestically produced low-end chips can be used as substitutes, they are generally high-priced and low-quality, lacking cost-effectiveness . Moreover, the problem of domestic chip subsidy fraud has always existed. A few days ago, several executives of Huaxin, the largest state-owned investment fund, were just investigated.

 
  The picture comes from Zhiwubuyan

This view was also confirmed by industry insiders. The netizen said: "Our factory's chips were all purchased in the United States before. Since the import was restricted, we switched to domestic chips, but the quality is only half of what it used to be, and the cost is still high. It's like being strangled by the throat ."

 
  The picture comes from Zhiwubuyan

A more objective view is that the bill has created a crisis while also bringing new opportunities. With the implementation of the bill, many cost-effective foreign chips are facing supply cuts. For sellers who rely on cost-effectiveness with the same function , costs will rise in the short term . Due to the uneven quality of domestic chips, sellers who rely on R&D to differentiate themselves will be more tested in their judgment of the market situation .
 
  The picture comes from Zhiwubuyan

All parties have some truth in their views, but regardless of the impact on cross-border sellers, the bill will last for 10 years! This means that before China breaks through chip technology, the domestic supply chain of imported chips will continue to be in short supply.
 
In the long run, all industries that rely on chips will face a major transformation. Only with change can there be development . Cross-border sellers who operate 3C, home appliances and other related products must pay attention to this.


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