It is learned that according to foreign media reports, on the evening of September 22, the Japanese Ministry of Finance announced that the government implemented exchange rate intervention on the same day due to the sharp fluctuations in the yen-dollar exchange rate . This is the first time that the Japanese government has intervened in the depreciation of the yen since June 1998. ▲ The picture comes from Yomiuri Shimbun Since 2021, the Japanese government has been actively promoting the depreciation of the yen in order to promote export trade. With the continuous interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve this year, the strengthening of the US dollar has caused the exchange rates of non-US currencies to fall out of fundamentals, and the already weak yen has begun to get out of control. On September 22, the Japanese yen fell from 115 yen to the dollar at the beginning of the year to 145 yen , hitting a 24-year low . The year-to-date depreciation rate exceeded 25% .
▲ The picture comes from Sina Finance In order to prevent the yen from continuing to fall, the Japanese Ministry of Finance intervened in the exchange rate at around 5:00 p.m. that day.
The scale of intervention is nearly 3 trillion yen, a record high During the intervention, the Bank of Japan bought yen from commercial financial institutions and sold dollars to them in the name of the government. After this series of operations, the yen-dollar exchange rate once again rose to around 140 on the same day. However, the intervention only temporarily curbed the yen's decline. In just a few days, the dollar-yen exchange rate climbed back to the level before the foreign exchange intervention.
According to a report by Japan's Kyodo News on September 26, the scale of the Japanese government's intervention in the foreign exchange market on the 22nd may reach 3 trillion yen (about 14.78 billion yuan), exceeding the record of 2.6 trillion yen in foreign exchange intervention in 1998.
On the evening of September 30, the Japanese Ministry of Finance announced official data on foreign exchange intervention: from August 30 to September 28, 2022, the amount of foreign exchange balance operations was 283.82 billion yen , which was not much different from media forecasts.
▲ The picture comes from the Ministry of Finance official website Industry insiders pointed out that although the sharp depreciation of the yen has temporarily eased, the probability of a significant rebound in the short term is very low . First, the Federal Reserve has hinted that interest rate hikes may continue until next year; second, the Japanese government is trapped by the reality of weak domestic demand and weak economy and can only stick to loose monetary policy.
The decline of the yen is not only reflected in the exchange rate with the US dollar, but also in the exchange rate with the RMB. As of the close of October 7, the exchange rate of the yen to the RMB was 0.0489 , a drop of nearly 30% compared with the peak in 2020 ! For Japanese cross-border sellers, the Japanese e-commerce market has become saturated in recent years, and the internal circulation is serious. The depreciation of the yen is undoubtedly worse. The yen has depreciated significantly, and the cost of reverse calculation remains high The unstoppable exchange rate decline, coupled with the reverse calculation customs clearance policy that Japan Customs has continuously improved in recent years, has caused the cost of cross-border e-commerce to continue to rise, and the profit to shrink. For sellers, this year's Japanese market is more difficult than ever before.
In the context of a sluggish environment , cost saving is the way for sellers to survive . However, it is not easy to reduce costs in a compliant and reasonable manner. As early as when the Japanese customs began to implement reverse calculation, some logistics companies launched the so-called "package reverse calculation" service, which seemed to reduce tariffs. However, behind it was the illegal behavior of not labeling the goods and passing them off as commercial items for customs clearance, which increased the operational risks of sellers. As Japanese customs began to strictly investigate the import of fake commercial items this year, many logistics companies went bankrupt and many sellers suffered heavy losses. The main reason is the lack of complete last-mile resources.
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